Surviving Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Day Thirty Two

Surviving C-19 Day 32
May 2, 2020 7 AM
102 Days since first US infection

Global Infected                 3,271,961                            3,359,055
Increase Infected            65,628                                 87,094

Global Dead                       233,704                 238,999
Increase Dead                   5,746                                 5,295

US Infected               1,070,032                          1,101,161 
Increase Infected            29,544                               31,129

US Dead                            63,019                               65,068
Increase Dead                 2,020                                  2,049

US Tested                           6,231,182                             6,551,810 *
US Population                   328,200,000                        328,200,000

Increase Tested                205,012                 320,628

Asterisk is from Johns Hopkins on that data point, US tested.

Canary States: Think Willie E Coyoete, waiting with finger plugged ears, for the fuse on the round black bomb to burn down and the bomb to explode. That is us right now, wondering “will it go off, or is it another lame Acme product?” in regards to the bloom pending from re-opening. If we see it it will most likely be 14-21 days or so from now, so let the countdown begin.

Countdown to potential bloom in 21days
In Montana, #43 most populous, 451 of 1,068,778 confirmed infected
not included due to small size
In Alaska, #48 most populous, 351 of 731,545 confirmed infectednot included due to small size
In South Dakota, #46 most populous, 2,525 of 884,659 confirmed infected, an increase of 76 cases
In Minnesota, #22 most populous, 5,730 of 5,639,632 confirmed infected, an increase of 594 cases
In Oklahoma, #28 most populous, 3,748 of 3,956,971 confirmed infected, an increase of 130 cases
In Tennessee, #16 most populous, 10,735 of 6,829,174 confirmed infected an increase of 1156 cases*
In Mississippi, #34 most populous, 7,212 of 2,976,149 confirmed infected an increase of 397 cases
In Georgia, #8 most populous, 27,731 of 10,617,423 confirmed infected, an increase of 1343 cases
In South Carolina, #23 most populous, 6,258 of 5,148,714 confirmed infected, an infected increase of 433 cases
In Texas, #2 most populous, 29,937 of 28,995,881 confirmed infected, an increase of 1029
*indicates a doubling or worse bloom since yesterday.

Most of these states seem to be in the wobble, rates of increase wax and wane but no downward trend seems to exist. A downward trend in number of infections per day is not a wobble. Tennessee had a doubling of new cases.

Nicotine as C-19 treatment?
“The group of scientists suspect either that nicotine could stop the virus from infecting cells or that nicotine was preventing the immune system from overreacting to the virus”, The Guardian reported. It comes after a French study found that not many people who had caught the virus were regular smokers. For the study, performed at Pitié Salpêtrière, part of the Hôpitaux de Paris, the group inspected 480 Covid-19 patients.  Three hundred and fifty were hospitalized and the rest recovered at home.

The outcome was that the patients in hospital, with a median age of 65, only 4.4 percent were regular smokers. But among those at home, with a median age of 44, 5.3 percent smoked. In contrast, among the general population, 40 percent of those between ages 44 and 53 smoke, and around 11 percent of those aged 65 to 75 smoke. The study concluded that far fewer smokers seem to have caught the virus and, if they have, their symptoms are less severe.

“Our cross-sectional study strongly suggests that those who smoke every day are much less likely to develop a symptomatic or severe infection with Sars-CoV-2 compared with the general population,” the study reads. “The effect is significant. It divides the risk by five for ambulatory patients and by four for those admitted to hospital.””

I do not imagine my pulmonologist would recommend taking up smoking to prevent C-19.

Morning Legacy Headlines

France to offer everyone €50 to get on their bike post-lockdown
Singapore prepares to ease some coronavirus restrictions
Trump now says he hopes U.S. deaths from coronavirus are under 100,000
Three-year-old girl goes viral after handling large sheep like an expert
Riot in Venezuela prison kills at least 40 and injures 50, including warden
UN: COVID-19 deaths for people over 80 are 5 times average
White House blocks Fauci from testifying before Congress
Clashes erupt between UAE-backed separatists and government forces in Yemen’s Socotra
North Korea’s Kim Jong Un makes first public appearance in nearly three weeks
FDA authorizes experimental drug remdesivir for emergency use in COVID-19 patients
Dow tumbles 622 points as major tech earnings disappoint investors
WHO says coronavirus ‘natural in origin’
France to auction off some of country’s antique furniture for COVID-19 relief
Texas coronavirus deaths hit one-day high ahead of reopening
Sudan makes female genital cutting a crime in ‘new era’ for women’s rights
Elon Musk tweet wipes $14bn off Tesla’s value
U.S. manufacturing activity plunges to 11-year low as orders sink
Matt Hancock says UK has passed 100,000 coronavirus testing target
UK death toll passes 27,000 after another 739 die from coronavirus
California county defies governor’s virus shutdown order
Trump urges Michigan’s Whitmer to ‘make a deal’ with those protesting stay-at-home order
Coronavirus: Scientists conclude people cannot be infected twice
Canada bans assault-style weapons after mass shooting
U.S. House panel calls on Amazon’s Bezos to testify on company practices
Criminals using food delivery services to transport drugs during lockdown –Interpol
NASA says Antarctica and Greenland lost enough ice to fill Lake Michigan over last 16 years
Kenya: With No Food, Woman Boils Stones to Keep Hope in Children
Number of Сovid-19 infections in Europe exceeds 1.5 million
Spain’s coronavirus death toll tops 25,000
IS militants kill 10 in coordinated attack in Iraq
Spain enjoys first exercise freedom for weeks
Trump Approval Rating Hits All-Time High in New Gallup Poll
2% of Moscow Residents Have Coronavirus: Mayor
NYC nursing home forced to use refrigerator truck for coronavirus victims’ bodies as toll neared 100

I feel obligated to mention something few Americans or residents of the western world consider day to day; survival.  The ability to simply stay alive is not something we Americans are used to facing.  We have become soft in our protective cocoon, we are hardly even able to grasp that we are in a survival game now, like combat.  This virus evolved and wants to live and reproduce just as all life does.  This one does so at our expense, and we are no longer used to that.

For centuries our main source of threat was other humans, through war and political strife.  Now once again, we are faced with an evolved enemy.  One that does not care about technology, or social norms, or national boundaries, or political preferences.  Survival is what we need to do.  Owners need income, which means they need workers and consumers.  Humans need food, shelter, water and air; after that literally everything is a luxury to some extent and expenditures can be curbed pending things like a secure job or residence. 

Business owners will not be re-opening to some ‘new normal’, but rather a consumer landscape composed of people willing to risk the life of their elderly family members for a cheeseburger.  That is likely a good deal smaller than the old status quo.  A rural local only protects you for a while in a pandemic, in 1918 entire towns cut themselves off from America, but got sick through the mail or by some family member. 

As we re-open we will bloom, and those blooms will likely prove deadly, as bad as NY per capita ,or worse, three weeks from today . Unless we are very fortunate and vastly underestimated the spread of the virus asymptomatically.  Unless we too look like the prisons with 80%+ infected and only some few ill.

Here’s to hoping our American Canaries fare well.

Afternoon Legacy Headlines

Navajo nation in crisis
College dreams on hold?
Study examines spread of COVID-19 in restaurant
Protesters take demands to reopen US to the streets
COVID-19 sparks rent strikes
The race for a COVID-19 treatment
FDA authorizes emergency use of remdesivir: Trump
New rules of social distancing during the pandemic
How a Massachusetts entrepreneur pivoted her small business to survive the pandemic
Some of the pandemic’s biggest unknowns center around the economy
China’s Lego video messaging targets both U.S. & Europe
What South Korea’s drastic Covid-19 contact tracing feels like
Cuban ambassador on US embassy attack
Gov. Cuomo: NY virus death rate “terrifying”
Music therapists play for hospitalized kids
Ex-convict helps neighbors cope in Morocco
Inslee announces phases for lifting restrictions
Virgin Galactic spaceship makes first glide flight
Trump won’t discuss reappearance of NKorea leader
Park ranger enforces distancing, shoved into water
NY man recovers from virus after losing mother
Trump hoping US deaths stay below 100,000
Coronavirus R0: What is the R number and why does it matter?
Coronavirus: Armed protesters enter Michigan statehouse
Coronavirus frontline: the paramedics risking their lives to help patients
Coronavirus: medical staff struggle to get tested as govt says it’s passed 100,000 target
Global emissions expected to drop 8% in 2020 because of coronavirus, but are likely to come back
Cuomo: Virus death toll has remained “obnoxiously and terrifyingly high”
Washington Post investigates worker safety violations at meat processing plants
Newly-leaked dossier makes claims about coronavirus origins
Is the nation’s food supply in jeopardy?
Blue Angels, Thunderbirds soar above Baltimore in tribute to essential workers
Kevin Hassett: Here’s when every state’s economy might reopen
Sen. Blackburn: ‘Joe Biden needs to come forward and just tell the truth’
AOC and ‘Squad’ join calls to cancel rent amid coronavirus pandemic
Barber belittled by CNN anchor speaks out on ‘Tucker Carlson Tonight’
Tucker: Totalitarianism doesn’t shock us any more
White House will block Dr. Fauci from testifying before the House
Texas Starts To Reopen As Coronavirus Deaths Hit Single-Day High
White House Allows Fauci To Testify Before The Senate, But Not The House
Full Interview: 50 Cent On Trump, Oprah, J-Lo, And Why He Doesn’t Drink, Smoke Or Start Feuds
Despite Trump’s Accusations, Intel Chief Concludes Coronavirus Not Created In Lab
TGI Fridays CEO: ‘Not The Governors’ Job, President’s Job’ To Protect Staff, Guests
Protesters Nationwide Take Part In Rent Strikes And Sickouts
Kim Jong Un Reportedly Makes First Public Appearance In Weeks
Dozens Of Malls To Reopen Across US As Some State Lockdowns Lifted
College Graduates Face Hiring Challenges Due To The Coronavirus Pandemic
Why Sleep Is Important During Times Of Crisis
New Things To Watch In May: Seinfeld Stand-Up, ‘Homecoming,’ Scooby-Doo
Houston businesses partially reopen with mixed emotions
In the U.K., refugees step up to serve

So the Admin has a new press secretary, but like the last one they are not a media person, but a political operative.  The Admin also blocked Fauci from testifying before the Democratic Congress but allowing him to testify before the GOP controlled Senate.  I imagine that will be contested in court.  The bigger problem is the Trump’s administrations inability to function as the arm of government without politics.  Certainly all presidents consider politics, but the Trump administration seems only to care about spin, and their political outlook.  Since Trump’s approval rating is at its all-time high of 49%, apparently it is still effective.

One must bear in mind though the actual reality, not the one we are spun with endlessly.  When they say ‘Trumps approval rating’, that comes from a poll, and most polls still use landlines.  Think about that and then consider ‘How many people do I know who still have a landline?’ To my thinking all such polls must be skewed by that. 

I do not put much trust in polls because so much depends on how a question is asked as to how people will respond to it, they are easy to skew using rhetoric; a careful choice of your wording in the questions format.  For instance if I ask ‘are you pro-abortion?’ or ‘are you pro women’s right to body integrity?’, the very same group of 1000 or more will give very different responses.  So polls are not very informative in general.

The other aspect of this issue is equally at work in both parties.  Trump will rail on the radical left and the squad, attempting to brand all Democrats as far left.  Democrats will do the same thing, using a Kevin Nunes or Mitch McConnell as a bogeyman for the left implying all GOP share their personalities and beliefs.  In both cases they do not, they tend to agree on certain issues, tend to share certain political philosophies, but they are not rubber stamps of either Red and Blue, an axiom which itself is an after effect of the 2000 election. Both of the parties do their level best to villainize the other side and both use the assumption that all Americans must be either Red, or Blue, when both are actually minorities in America.

That bears repeating; Both Republicans and Democrats are minority groups in America.  Gallup, today says 27% of us are GOP, 31% are Democrat, and 39% are just like me, Independent.  We independents are the crucial voting bloc; were we to use our non-affiliation as a group, we could control this swing demographic but we are a demographic divided by our very nature.  Both sides court us but neither side has given too much of a shit about us. We tend to think and act independently, not as a bloc. 

Power is intoxicating, and the parties both want to retain it, and gain it from the other, often at the citizens expense.`

“The common and continual mischiefs of the spirit of party are sufficient to make it the interest and duty of a wise people to discourage and restrain it.”
~ George Washington, Farewell Address, 19 September 1796.

Maine infected           1,123                                           1,152
Increase Infected        28                                                29

Maine Dead               55                                    56
Increase Dead            2                                     1 While I isolated, gamed, and wrote did this work, another Mainer lost their battle with C-19 while 29 more entered the battle.

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