Surviving Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) Day Fifty Three

Surviving C-19 Day 53
May 23, 2020 12:30 PM
123 Days since first US infection

Global Infected 5,154,152 5,284,830
Increase Infected 126,420 130,678
Global Dead 335,063 340,805
Increase Dead 6,333 5,742
US Infected 1,583,561 1,618,948
Increase Infected 30,967 35,387
US Dead 95,052 96,983
Increase Dead 1,581 1,931

So A Titanic plus today.

A couple of things about the numbers. First recall all these numbers will be much less valid after the peak bloom is past, the numbers from that bloom will be superior, hindsight always is. Next, about a week back I said I was giving the opening two weeks, till the end of the month, to judge wheter blooms were happening or not. Despite there being a two week lag in any possible diagnosis,every other state began opening of necessity because we gotta eat.
The last thing about the numbers is this; we have learned this disease is asymptomatic, which is to say that people get it with little or no symptoms, and having no symptoms are under the illusion they lack the disease, and those folks spread the disease. This is why masks are proving so vital, it is spread mainly by breathing, not by droplets. Droplets are the secondary and not primary spread vector, making it more an airborne than an aresol.

So lots of folks are going out, many without masks because they are in denial, or feel immune, or young and fit or what have you. Some of those people will be carriers and will spread the disease. What we do not know about the disease is what proportion of infected are asymptomatic? If it is 90% while 5% die, containing it will not be possible. If it is 50/50 we have a chance of track and trace and with less asymptomatic cases its even better. It becomes a numbers game trying to track down the six degrees of seperation. If most infected are asymptomatic it makes it impossible, there would just be too many. It becomes easier and safer to assume we all are asymptomatic and live in masks forever.

Let’s check those canaries . . .

In Alaska, #48 most populous, was 401 and is now 407 of 731,545 confirmed infected, an increase of 6 cases (1 yesterday)

In Montana, #43 most populous, was 479 and is now 479 of 1,068,778 confirmed infected, an increase of 0 cases (1yesterday)

In South Dakota, #46 most populous, was 4,177 and is now 4,464 of 884,659 confirmed infected, an increase of 287 cases (0 yesterday)

In Oklahoma, #28 most populous, was 5,670 and is now 5,960 of 3,956,971 confirmed infected, an increase of 290 cases (138 yesterday)

In South Carolina, #23 most populous, was 9,381 and is now 9,895 of 5,148,714 confirmed infected, an infected increase of 514 cases (206 yesterday)

In Mississippi, #34 most populous, was 12,222 and is now 13,005 of 2,976,149 confirmed infected, an increase of 783 cases (255 yesterday)

In Minnesota, #22 most populous, was 18,200 and is now 19,785 of 5,639,632 confirmed infected, an increase of 1,645 cases (530 yesterday)

In Tennessee, #16 most populous, was 18,961 and is now 19,845 of 6,829,174 confirmed infected an increase of 884 cases (549 yesterday)

In Georgia, #8 most populous, was 41,146 and is now 42,132 of 10,617,423 confirmed infected, an increase of 986 cases (982 yesterday)

In Texas, #2 most populous, was 53,061 and is now 54,000 of 28,995,881 confirmed infected, an increase of 939 cases (1,388 yesterday)

Hate to say it and it is a week early, but it sure looks like some of these states are beginging to bloom.

NO HEADLINES, its my damn day off from the eternal fucking headlines.

Maine infected 1,948 2,013
Increase Infected 71 65
Maine Dead 75 77
Increase Dead 2 2

Whilst I isolated and worked on this, 2 more of my fellow Mainers died from C-19.

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